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Prediction for CME (2024-08-09T08:24:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2024-08-09T08:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/32651/-1 CME Note: An extremely faint CME, barely seen in white light imagery and better seen in difference imagery. No clear source has been found on the Earth-facing disk, however an extremely faint dimming, followed by equally faint post-eruptive arcades is seen in AIA 193/211 centered roughly around (N30E35) starting with 2024-08-09T07Z. Alternatively, there is also a faint movement of field lines behind/on the eastern limb but fitting with two coronagraphs indicates that there source of this CME is not close to the limb (no good fit for longitudes around -90 degrees). No clear CME arrival signatures in the solar wind. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-08-12T16:00Z Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0 Prediction Method: Average of all Methods Prediction Method Note: This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -3556.93 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z |
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